The rapid transition in the UK with the appointment of Theresa May as Prime Minister following the resignation of David Cameron has led to a welcome turnaround in UK business activity and sentiment with support from the the Bank of England
Prime Minister May has made it clear Brexit means Brexit. But it will be months and may be even years before we know what Brexit actually means.
This blog was launched to support work I have been doing addressing the unconventional monetary policies adopted by central banks since the global financial crisis erupted in 2008. A key element of the book is identifying reliable and accessible information resources for ordinary investors in extraordinary times. Markit is an important resource.
Previous postings on this blog have suggested keeping gold on the agenda for consideration when asset allocation decisions are being made. A weaker currency is good for exporters but not for savers.
# Note added 11th April 2016
Monday 4th April was an ambitious date to commence publishing on an issue of enormous international interest. Publication will commence when the information framework has been designed and tested as a useful resource,
Posted on March 30th 2016 Commencing Monday 4th April . This website will, as a content aggregator, publish links to news and commentary on the 23rd June British Referendum on either remaining in or leaving The European Union.
# 5th February : Above Chart added reflecting negative Govt Bond Yields across the yield curve notified by The Daily Shot
## Note Added 3rd Feb 2016: Link to Bloomberg Quick Take on negative interest rates – Link to Goldwatcher comment on the end of the long term debt cycle and negative interest rates
The total balance of government bonds with negative yields hit $5.5 trillion after the BOJ action on Friday according to JPMorgan (via the Financial Times) and noted in The Daily Shot letter today
I posted a comment on www.thegoldwatcher.com yesterday on approaching the end of the debt supercycle that started with the end of WW2 over seventy years ago. The comment addresses Ray Dalio’s warning that policy makers could find themselves pushing against a string.
Monetary policy works with a lag. When central banks were fighting inflation the analogy of pulling a stone with an elastic band was a popular way of explaining the lag – you pull and pull and nothing happens ….. then the elastic tightens and wham, the stone rockets back!
What happens when central banks find themselves pushing against a string? Trillions of dollars and other currencies with negative yields?
Noah Smith : Bloomberg
Don Kohn Brookings